Teuton Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.71

TEUTF Stock  USD 0.82  0.02  2.50%   
Teuton Resources' future price is the expected price of Teuton Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Teuton Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Teuton Resources Backtesting, Teuton Resources Valuation, Teuton Resources Correlation, Teuton Resources Hype Analysis, Teuton Resources Volatility, Teuton Resources History as well as Teuton Resources Performance.
  
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Teuton Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 4.71

The tendency of Teuton Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.71  or more in 90 days
 0.82 90 days 4.71 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teuton Resources to move over $ 4.71  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Teuton Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of Teuton Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teuton Resources Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.82  and $ 4.71  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Teuton Resources Corp has a beta of -0.39. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Teuton Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Teuton Resources Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Teuton Resources Corp has an alpha of 0.091, implying that it can generate a 0.091 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Teuton Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Teuton Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teuton Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teuton Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.824.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.734.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.824.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.790.810.83
Details

Teuton Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teuton Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teuton Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teuton Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teuton Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Teuton Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teuton Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teuton Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teuton Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Teuton Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Teuton Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Teuton Resources Corp has accumulated about 12.73 M in cash with (619.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Teuton Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Teuton Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Teuton Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teuton Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.2 M

Teuton Resources Technical Analysis

Teuton Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teuton Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teuton Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teuton Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Teuton Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Teuton Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Teuton Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teuton Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Teuton Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Teuton Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teuton Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teuton Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Teuton Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Teuton Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Teuton Resources Corp has accumulated about 12.73 M in cash with (619.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Teuton Pink Sheet

Teuton Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teuton Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teuton with respect to the benefits of owning Teuton Resources security.