Tfa Alphagen Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.18

TFAGX Fund  USD 11.16  0.09  0.81%   
Tfa Alphagen's future price is the expected price of Tfa Alphagen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tfa Alphagen Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tfa Alphagen Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tfa Alphagen Correlation, Tfa Alphagen Hype Analysis, Tfa Alphagen Volatility, Tfa Alphagen History as well as Tfa Alphagen Performance.
  
Please specify Tfa Alphagen's target price for which you would like Tfa Alphagen odds to be computed.

Tfa Alphagen Target Price Odds to finish below 11.18

The tendency of Tfa Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.18  after 90 days
 11.16 90 days 11.18 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tfa Alphagen to stay under $ 11.18  after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Tfa Alphagen Growth probability density function shows the probability of Tfa Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tfa Alphagen Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 11.16  and $ 11.18  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tfa Alphagen has a beta of 0.93. This usually implies Tfa Alphagen Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tfa Alphagen is expected to follow. Additionally Tfa Alphagen Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tfa Alphagen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tfa Alphagen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tfa Alphagen Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2911.1612.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1511.0211.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1611.0311.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6310.9511.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tfa Alphagen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tfa Alphagen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tfa Alphagen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tfa Alphagen Growth.

Tfa Alphagen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tfa Alphagen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tfa Alphagen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tfa Alphagen Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tfa Alphagen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Tfa Alphagen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tfa Alphagen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tfa Alphagen Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Tfa Alphagen Technical Analysis

Tfa Alphagen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tfa Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tfa Alphagen Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tfa Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tfa Alphagen Predictive Forecast Models

Tfa Alphagen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tfa Alphagen's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tfa Alphagen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tfa Alphagen Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tfa Alphagen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tfa Alphagen Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Tfa Mutual Fund

Tfa Alphagen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tfa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tfa with respect to the benefits of owning Tfa Alphagen security.
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