Maryland Tax Free Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.58
| TFBIX Fund | USD 10.20 0.04 0.39% |
Maryland |
Maryland Tax-free Target Price Odds to finish below 9.58
The tendency of Maryland Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.58 or more in 90 days |
| 10.20 | 90 days | 9.58 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maryland Tax-free to drop to $ 9.58 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Maryland Tax Free Bond probability density function shows the probability of Maryland Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maryland Tax Free price to stay between $ 9.58 and its current price of $10.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Maryland Tax Free Bond has a beta of -0.1. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Maryland Tax-free are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Maryland Tax Free Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Maryland Tax Free Bond has an alpha of 0.0133, implying that it can generate a 0.0133 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Maryland Tax-free Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Maryland Tax-free
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maryland Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maryland Tax-free Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maryland Tax-free is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maryland Tax-free's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maryland Tax Free Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maryland Tax-free within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.48 |
Maryland Tax-free Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maryland Tax-free for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maryland Tax Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Maryland Tax-free Technical Analysis
Maryland Tax-free's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maryland Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maryland Tax Free Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maryland Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maryland Tax-free Predictive Forecast Models
Maryland Tax-free's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maryland Tax-free's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maryland Tax-free's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Maryland Tax Free
Checking the ongoing alerts about Maryland Tax-free for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maryland Tax Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in Maryland Mutual Fund
Maryland Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maryland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maryland with respect to the benefits of owning Maryland Tax-free security.
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