Truist Financial Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 18.60

TFC-PR Preferred Stock  USD 20.55  0.04  0.19%   
Truist Financial's future price is the expected price of Truist Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Truist Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Truist Financial Backtesting, Truist Financial Valuation, Truist Financial Correlation, Truist Financial Hype Analysis, Truist Financial Volatility, Truist Financial History as well as Truist Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Truist Financial's target price for which you would like Truist Financial odds to be computed.

Truist Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 18.60

The tendency of Truist Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 18.60  or more in 90 days
 20.55 90 days 18.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Truist Financial to drop to $ 18.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Truist Financial probability density function shows the probability of Truist Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Truist Financial price to stay between $ 18.60  and its current price of $20.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Truist Financial has a beta of 0.092. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Truist Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Truist Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Truist Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Truist Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Truist Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Truist Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6120.5521.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4617.4022.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.6520.5921.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3020.8621.43
Details

Truist Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Truist Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Truist Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Truist Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Truist Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Truist Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Truist Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Truist Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Truist Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Truist Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Truist Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Truist Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Truist Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments93.2 B

Truist Financial Technical Analysis

Truist Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Truist Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Truist Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Truist Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Truist Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Truist Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Truist Financial's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Truist Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Truist Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Truist Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Truist Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Truist Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Truist Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Truist Financial's price analysis, check to measure Truist Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Truist Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Truist Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Truist Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Truist Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Truist Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.