Thai President (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 192.86

TFMAMA Stock  THB 199.50  0.50  0.25%   
Thai President's future price is the expected price of Thai President instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thai President Foods performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thai President Backtesting, Thai President Valuation, Thai President Correlation, Thai President Hype Analysis, Thai President Volatility, Thai President History as well as Thai President Performance.
  
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Thai President Target Price Odds to finish over 192.86

The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  192.86  in 90 days
 199.50 90 days 192.86 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai President to stay above  192.86  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Thai President Foods probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai President Foods price to stay between  192.86  and its current price of 199.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thai President Foods has a beta of -0.0317. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thai President are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thai President Foods is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thai President Foods has an alpha of 0.0258, implying that it can generate a 0.0258 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thai President Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thai President

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai President Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
198.90199.50200.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
197.05197.65219.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
198.06198.66199.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
198.69200.61202.53
Details

Thai President Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai President is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai President's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai President Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai President within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
3.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Thai President Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai President for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai President Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thai President Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai President's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai President's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding329.7 M

Thai President Technical Analysis

Thai President's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai President Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thai President Predictive Forecast Models

Thai President's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai President's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai President's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thai President Foods

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai President for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai President Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai President financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai President security.