Target 2005 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.64
| TFRRX Fund | USD 11.75 0.02 0.17% |
Target |
Target 2005 Target Price Odds to finish below 11.64
The tendency of Target Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.64 or more in 90 days |
| 11.75 | 90 days | 11.64 | about 16.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Target 2005 to drop to $ 11.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.83 (This Target 2005 Fund probability density function shows the probability of Target Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Target 2005 Fund price to stay between $ 11.64 and its current price of $11.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Target 2005 has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Target 2005 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Target 2005 Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Target 2005 Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Target 2005 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Target 2005
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Target 2005 Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Target 2005 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Target 2005 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Target 2005's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Target 2005 Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Target 2005 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.42 |
Target 2005 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Target 2005 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Target 2005 Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 7.29% of its assets in cash |
Target 2005 Technical Analysis
Target 2005's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Target Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Target 2005 Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Target Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Target 2005 Predictive Forecast Models
Target 2005's time-series forecasting models is one of many Target 2005's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Target 2005's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Target 2005 Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Target 2005 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Target 2005 Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 7.29% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Target Mutual Fund
Target 2005 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Target Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Target with respect to the benefits of owning Target 2005 security.
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