Transphorm Technology Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.82
| TGANDelisted Stock | USD 5.10 0.00 0.00% |
Transphorm |
Transphorm Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 4.82
The tendency of Transphorm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.82 in 90 days |
| 5.10 | 90 days | 4.82 | about 72.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transphorm Technology to stay above $ 4.82 in 90 days from now is about 72.93 (This Transphorm Technology probability density function shows the probability of Transphorm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Transphorm Technology price to stay between $ 4.82 and its current price of $5.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Transphorm Technology has a beta of -0.0349. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Transphorm Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Transphorm Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Transphorm Technology has an alpha of 0.0529, implying that it can generate a 0.0529 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Transphorm Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Transphorm Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transphorm Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Transphorm Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transphorm Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transphorm Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transphorm Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transphorm Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Transphorm Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transphorm Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transphorm Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Transphorm Technology is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Transphorm Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.6 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (950 K). | |
| Transphorm Technology currently holds about 42.61 M in cash with (26.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Transphorm Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transphorm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transphorm Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transphorm Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.5 M |
Transphorm Technology Technical Analysis
Transphorm Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Transphorm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Transphorm Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Transphorm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Transphorm Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Transphorm Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Transphorm Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Transphorm Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Transphorm Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Transphorm Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Transphorm Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Transphorm Technology is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Transphorm Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.6 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (950 K). | |
| Transphorm Technology currently holds about 42.61 M in cash with (26.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75. | |
| Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Transphorm Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Transphorm Technology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Transphorm Technology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |