Tcw Global Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.78

TGGFX Fund  USD 8.25  0.05  0.61%   
Tcw Global's future price is the expected price of Tcw Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tcw Global Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tcw Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tcw Global Correlation, Tcw Global Hype Analysis, Tcw Global Volatility, Tcw Global History as well as Tcw Global Performance.
  
Please specify Tcw Global's target price for which you would like Tcw Global odds to be computed.

Tcw Global Target Price Odds to finish below 7.78

The tendency of Tcw Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.78  or more in 90 days
 8.25 90 days 7.78 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tcw Global to drop to $ 7.78  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tcw Global Bond probability density function shows the probability of Tcw Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tcw Global Bond price to stay between $ 7.78  and its current price of $8.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tcw Global has a beta of 0.0728. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tcw Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tcw Global Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tcw Global Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tcw Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tcw Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tcw Global Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.858.258.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.898.298.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.878.278.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.088.178.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tcw Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tcw Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tcw Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tcw Global Bond.

Tcw Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tcw Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tcw Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tcw Global Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tcw Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.46

Tcw Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tcw Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tcw Global Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tcw Global Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tcw Global Bond generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 6.49% of its assets in cash

Tcw Global Technical Analysis

Tcw Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tcw Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tcw Global Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tcw Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tcw Global Predictive Forecast Models

Tcw Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tcw Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tcw Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tcw Global Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tcw Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tcw Global Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tcw Global Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tcw Global Bond generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund maintains about 6.49% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Tcw Mutual Fund

Tcw Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tcw Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tcw with respect to the benefits of owning Tcw Global security.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios