Triumph Group Odds of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0238
| TGIDWDelisted Stock | 0.03 0.00 0.00% |
Triumph |
Triumph Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0238
The tendency of Triumph OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.02 in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Triumph to stay above 0.02 in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Triumph Group probability density function shows the probability of Triumph OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Triumph Group price to stay between 0.02 and its current price of 0.025 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Triumph Group has a beta of -2.26. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Triumph Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Triumph is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Triumph Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Triumph Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Triumph
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triumph Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Triumph's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Triumph Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Triumph is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Triumph's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Triumph Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Triumph within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Triumph Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Triumph for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Triumph Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Triumph Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Triumph Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Triumph Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (42.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Triumph generates negative cash flow from operations |
Triumph Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Triumph OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Triumph's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triumph's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.3 M | |
| Shares Float | 60.6 M |
Triumph Technical Analysis
Triumph's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Triumph OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Triumph Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Triumph OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Triumph Predictive Forecast Models
Triumph's time-series forecasting models is one of many Triumph's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Triumph's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Triumph Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Triumph for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Triumph Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Triumph Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Triumph Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Triumph Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.46 B. Net Loss for the year was (42.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Triumph generates negative cash flow from operations |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. Note that the Triumph Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Triumph's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Other Consideration for investing in Triumph OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Triumph Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Triumph's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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