Transportadora De Gas Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.42

TGS Stock  USD 29.19  0.18  0.62%   
Transportadora's future price is the expected price of Transportadora instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Transportadora de Gas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Transportadora Backtesting, Transportadora Valuation, Transportadora Correlation, Transportadora Hype Analysis, Transportadora Volatility, Transportadora History as well as Transportadora Performance.
  
At this time, Transportadora's Price Fair Value is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Transportadora's target price for which you would like Transportadora odds to be computed.

Transportadora Target Price Odds to finish below 22.42

The tendency of Transportadora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 22.42  or more in 90 days
 29.19 90 days 22.42 
about 53.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transportadora to drop to $ 22.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.97 (This Transportadora de Gas probability density function shows the probability of Transportadora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Transportadora de Gas price to stay between $ 22.42  and its current price of $29.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.54 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Transportadora has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Transportadora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Transportadora de Gas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Transportadora de Gas has an alpha of 0.6944, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Transportadora Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Transportadora

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transportadora de Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.2930.1432.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1916.0432.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.2730.1232.96
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0711.0712.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Transportadora. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Transportadora's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Transportadora's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Transportadora de Gas.

Transportadora Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transportadora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transportadora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transportadora de Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transportadora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
3.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Transportadora Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transportadora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transportadora de Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transportadora has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA Stock Price Up 2.37 percent on Nov 13

Transportadora Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Transportadora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Transportadora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transportadora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding752.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments329.5 B

Transportadora Technical Analysis

Transportadora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Transportadora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Transportadora de Gas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Transportadora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Transportadora Predictive Forecast Models

Transportadora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Transportadora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Transportadora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Transportadora de Gas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Transportadora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Transportadora de Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Transportadora has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA Stock Price Up 2.37 percent on Nov 13

Additional Tools for Transportadora Stock Analysis

When running Transportadora's price analysis, check to measure Transportadora's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Transportadora is operating at the current time. Most of Transportadora's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Transportadora's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Transportadora's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Transportadora to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.