TGS Dis (Turkey) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 56.8
| TGSAS Stock | TRY 57.55 0.15 0.26% |
TGS |
TGS Dis Target Price Odds to finish below 56.8
The tendency of TGS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 56.80 or more in 90 days |
| 57.55 | 90 days | 56.80 | about 33.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TGS Dis to drop to 56.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 33.78 (This TGS Dis Ticaret probability density function shows the probability of TGS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TGS Dis Ticaret price to stay between 56.80 and its current price of 57.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TGS Dis has a beta of 0.35. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TGS Dis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TGS Dis Ticaret will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TGS Dis Ticaret has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TGS Dis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TGS Dis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TGS Dis Ticaret. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TGS Dis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TGS Dis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TGS Dis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TGS Dis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TGS Dis Ticaret, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TGS Dis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
TGS Dis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TGS Dis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TGS Dis Ticaret can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TGS Dis Ticaret had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| TGS Dis Ticaret has accumulated about 3.94 M in cash with (301.71 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Roughly 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TGS Dis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TGS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TGS Dis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TGS Dis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15 M |
TGS Dis Technical Analysis
TGS Dis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TGS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TGS Dis Ticaret. In general, you should focus on analyzing TGS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TGS Dis Predictive Forecast Models
TGS Dis' time-series forecasting models is one of many TGS Dis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TGS Dis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TGS Dis Ticaret
Checking the ongoing alerts about TGS Dis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TGS Dis Ticaret help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TGS Dis Ticaret had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| TGS Dis Ticaret has accumulated about 3.94 M in cash with (301.71 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Roughly 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TGS Stock
TGS Dis financial ratios help investors to determine whether TGS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TGS with respect to the benefits of owning TGS Dis security.