Steel Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.0

THE Stock  THB 0.76  0.02  2.70%   
Steel Public's future price is the expected price of Steel Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Steel Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Steel Public Backtesting, Steel Public Valuation, Steel Public Correlation, Steel Public Hype Analysis, Steel Public Volatility, Steel Public History as well as Steel Public Performance.
  
Please specify Steel Public's target price for which you would like Steel Public odds to be computed.

Steel Public Target Price Odds to finish over 1.0

The tendency of Steel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.00  or more in 90 days
 0.76 90 days 1.00 
about 26.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steel Public to move over  1.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.02 (This The Steel Public probability density function shows the probability of Steel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Steel Public price to stay between its current price of  0.76  and  1.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon The Steel Public has a beta of -0.41. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Steel Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Steel Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Steel Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Steel Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Steel Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steel Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.7487.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.5287.52
Details

Steel Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steel Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steel Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Steel Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steel Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Steel Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steel Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steel Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steel Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Steel Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Steel Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Steel Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The Steel Public has accumulated 2.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 152.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Steel Public has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Steel Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Steel Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Steel Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Steel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Steel Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The Steel Public has accumulated about 255.36 M in cash with (92.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Roughly 76.0% of Steel Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Steel Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Steel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Steel Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steel Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Steel Public Technical Analysis

Steel Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Steel Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Steel Public Predictive Forecast Models

Steel Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Steel Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steel Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Steel Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Steel Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steel Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Steel Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Steel Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Steel Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Steel Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The Steel Public has accumulated 2.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 152.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Steel Public has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Steel Public until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Steel Public's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Steel Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Steel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Steel Public's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The Steel Public has accumulated about 255.36 M in cash with (92.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Roughly 76.0% of Steel Public outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Steel Stock

Steel Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Steel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Steel with respect to the benefits of owning Steel Public security.