International Tower Hill Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.23

THM Stock  USD 0.46  0.01  2.22%   
International Tower's future price is the expected price of International Tower instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of International Tower Hill performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out International Tower Backtesting, International Tower Valuation, International Tower Correlation, International Tower Hype Analysis, International Tower Volatility, International Tower History as well as International Tower Performance.
  
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International Tower Target Price Odds to finish over 16.23

The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.23  or more in 90 days
 0.46 90 days 16.23 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Tower to move over $ 16.23  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This International Tower Hill probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Tower Hill price to stay between its current price of $ 0.46  and $ 16.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.94 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, International Tower will likely underperform. Additionally International Tower Hill has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   International Tower Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for International Tower

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Tower Hill. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.455.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.846.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.525.68
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as International Tower. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against International Tower's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, International Tower's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in International Tower Hill.

International Tower Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Tower is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Tower's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Tower Hill, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Tower within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

International Tower Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Tower for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Tower Hill can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
International Tower generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
International Tower has high historical volatility and very poor performance
International Tower has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
International Tower Hill has about 4.85 M in cash with (3.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: StockNews.com Initiates Coverage on International Tower Hill Mines - MarketBeat

International Tower Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Tower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Tower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding195.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 M

International Tower Technical Analysis

International Tower's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Tower Hill. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

International Tower Predictive Forecast Models

International Tower's time-series forecasting models is one of many International Tower's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Tower's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about International Tower Hill

Checking the ongoing alerts about International Tower for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Tower Hill help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
International Tower generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
International Tower has high historical volatility and very poor performance
International Tower has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
International Tower Hill has about 4.85 M in cash with (3.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: StockNews.com Initiates Coverage on International Tower Hill Mines - MarketBeat
When determining whether International Tower Hill is a strong investment it is important to analyze International Tower's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact International Tower's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding International Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Tower. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Tower listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.06)
The market value of International Tower Hill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Tower's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Tower's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Tower's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Tower's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Tower's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Tower is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Tower's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.