Thinkific Labs Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.10

THNCF Stock  USD 2.21  0.07  3.27%   
Thinkific Labs' future price is the expected price of Thinkific Labs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thinkific Labs performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thinkific Labs Backtesting, Thinkific Labs Valuation, Thinkific Labs Correlation, Thinkific Labs Hype Analysis, Thinkific Labs Volatility, Thinkific Labs History as well as Thinkific Labs Performance.
  
Please specify Thinkific Labs' target price for which you would like Thinkific Labs odds to be computed.

Thinkific Labs Target Price Odds to finish below 0.10

The tendency of Thinkific Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.10  or more in 90 days
 2.21 90 days 0.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thinkific Labs to drop to $ 0.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thinkific Labs probability density function shows the probability of Thinkific Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thinkific Labs price to stay between $ 0.10  and its current price of $2.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thinkific Labs has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thinkific Labs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thinkific Labs will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thinkific Labs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thinkific Labs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thinkific Labs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thinkific Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thinkific Labs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.215.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.104.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.295.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.992.122.25
Details

Thinkific Labs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thinkific Labs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thinkific Labs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thinkific Labs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thinkific Labs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Thinkific Labs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thinkific Labs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thinkific Labs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 38.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.21 M.
Thinkific Labs has accumulated about 105.31 M in cash with (18.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Clark Estates Inc. NY Lowers Stock Position in SSC Technologies Holdings, Inc.

Thinkific Labs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thinkific Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thinkific Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thinkific Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.3 M

Thinkific Labs Technical Analysis

Thinkific Labs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thinkific Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thinkific Labs. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thinkific Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thinkific Labs Predictive Forecast Models

Thinkific Labs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Thinkific Labs' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thinkific Labs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thinkific Labs

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thinkific Labs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thinkific Labs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 38.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.21 M.
Thinkific Labs has accumulated about 105.31 M in cash with (18.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Clark Estates Inc. NY Lowers Stock Position in SSC Technologies Holdings, Inc.

Other Information on Investing in Thinkific Pink Sheet

Thinkific Labs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thinkific Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thinkific with respect to the benefits of owning Thinkific Labs security.