Target Healthcare (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 71.66
| THRL Stock | 85.10 1.70 2.04% |
Target |
Target Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 71.66
The tendency of Target Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 71.66 or more in 90 days |
| 85.10 | 90 days | 71.66 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Target Healthcare to drop to 71.66 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Target Healthcare REIT probability density function shows the probability of Target Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Target Healthcare REIT price to stay between 71.66 and its current price of 85.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Target Healthcare REIT has a beta of -0.0044. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Target Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Target Healthcare REIT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Target Healthcare REIT has an alpha of 0.0445, implying that it can generate a 0.0445 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Target Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Target Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Target Healthcare REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Target Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Target Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Target Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Target Healthcare REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Target Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0044 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Target Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Target Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Target Healthcare REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Target Healthcare REIT Share Price Passes Below 50 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
Target Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Target Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Target Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Target Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 620.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 35.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.9 M |
Target Healthcare Technical Analysis
Target Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Target Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Target Healthcare REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Target Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Target Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Target Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Target Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Target Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Target Healthcare REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Target Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Target Healthcare REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Target Healthcare REIT Share Price Passes Below 50 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Target Stock Analysis
When running Target Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Target Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Target Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Target Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Target Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Target Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Target Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.