Thunderful Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| THUNDR Stock | SEK 0.89 0.05 5.95% |
Thunderful |
Thunderful Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Thunderful Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.89 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thunderful Group to drop to kr 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thunderful Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Thunderful Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thunderful Group price to stay between kr 0.01 and its current price of kr0.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thunderful Group has a beta of 0.81. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thunderful Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thunderful Group AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thunderful Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Thunderful Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thunderful Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thunderful Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thunderful Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thunderful Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thunderful Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thunderful Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thunderful Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thunderful Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Thunderful Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thunderful Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thunderful Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thunderful Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thunderful Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Thunderful Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Thunderful Group AB has accumulated about 214.7 M in cash with (64.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Thunderful Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thunderful Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thunderful Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thunderful Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.2 M |
Thunderful Group Technical Analysis
Thunderful Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thunderful Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thunderful Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thunderful Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thunderful Group Predictive Forecast Models
Thunderful Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thunderful Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thunderful Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thunderful Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thunderful Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thunderful Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thunderful Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thunderful Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Thunderful Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Thunderful Group AB has accumulated about 214.7 M in cash with (64.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Thunderful Stock
Thunderful Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thunderful Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thunderful with respect to the benefits of owning Thunderful Group security.