Timothy Aggressive Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.73

TIAGX Fund  USD 14.75  0.18  1.21%   
Timothy Aggressive's future price is the expected price of Timothy Aggressive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Timothy Aggressive Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Timothy Aggressive Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Timothy Aggressive Correlation, Timothy Aggressive Hype Analysis, Timothy Aggressive Volatility, Timothy Aggressive History as well as Timothy Aggressive Performance.
  
Please specify Timothy Aggressive's target price for which you would like Timothy Aggressive odds to be computed.

Timothy Aggressive Target Price Odds to finish over 15.73

The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.73  or more in 90 days
 14.75 90 days 15.73 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Aggressive to move over $ 15.73  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Timothy Aggressive Growth probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timothy Aggressive Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 14.75  and $ 15.73  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually implies Timothy Aggressive Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Timothy Aggressive is expected to follow. Additionally Timothy Aggressive Growth has an alpha of 0.0101, implying that it can generate a 0.0101 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Timothy Aggressive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Timothy Aggressive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Aggressive Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8214.7515.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.6014.5315.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.0214.9515.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5114.2915.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Timothy Aggressive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Timothy Aggressive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Timothy Aggressive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Timothy Aggressive Growth.

Timothy Aggressive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Aggressive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Aggressive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Aggressive Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Aggressive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Timothy Aggressive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Aggressive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Aggressive Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.85% of its assets in cash

Timothy Aggressive Technical Analysis

Timothy Aggressive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timothy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timothy Aggressive Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timothy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Timothy Aggressive Predictive Forecast Models

Timothy Aggressive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timothy Aggressive's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timothy Aggressive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Timothy Aggressive Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Aggressive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Aggressive Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.85% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Aggressive security.
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies