Tiaa Cref High Yield Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.89
| TIHPX Fund | USD 8.89 0.01 0.11% |
Tiaa-cref |
Tiaa-cref High-yield Target Price Odds to finish below 8.89
The tendency of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 8.89 | 90 days | 8.89 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tiaa-cref High-yield to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Tiaa Cref High Yield Fund probability density function shows the probability of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tiaa-cref High-yield has a beta of 0.0742. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tiaa-cref High-yield average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tiaa Cref High Yield Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tiaa Cref High Yield Fund has an alpha of 0.0117, implying that it can generate a 0.0117 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tiaa-cref High-yield Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tiaa-cref High-yield
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiaa-cref High-yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tiaa-cref High-yield Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tiaa-cref High-yield is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tiaa-cref High-yield's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tiaa Cref High Yield Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tiaa-cref High-yield within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.61 |
Tiaa-cref High-yield Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tiaa-cref High-yield for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tiaa-cref High-yield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 12.29% of its assets in bonds |
Tiaa-cref High-yield Technical Analysis
Tiaa-cref High-yield's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tiaa Cref High Yield Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tiaa-cref High-yield Predictive Forecast Models
Tiaa-cref High-yield's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tiaa-cref High-yield's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tiaa-cref High-yield's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tiaa-cref High-yield
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tiaa-cref High-yield for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tiaa-cref High-yield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 12.29% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund
Tiaa-cref High-yield financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tiaa-cref with respect to the benefits of owning Tiaa-cref High-yield security.
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites |