Tiaa Cref Inflation Linked Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.38
| TIIWX Fund | USD 10.56 0.01 0.09% |
Tiaa-cref |
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked Target Price Odds to finish below 10.38
The tendency of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.38 or more in 90 days |
| 10.56 | 90 days | 10.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked to drop to $ 10.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tiaa Cref Inflation Linked Bond probability density function shows the probability of Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked price to stay between $ 10.38 and its current price of $10.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked has a beta of 0.0327. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tiaa Cref Inflation Linked Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tiaa Cref Inflation Linked Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tiaa Cref Inflation Linked Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.66 |
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked Technical Analysis
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tiaa Cref Inflation Linked Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked Predictive Forecast Models
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund
Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tiaa-cref Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tiaa-cref with respect to the benefits of owning Tiaa-cref Inflation-linked security.
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