Till Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| TIL Stock | CAD 1.25 0.17 15.74% |
Till |
Till Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Till Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 1.25 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Till Capital to drop to C$ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Till Capital probability density function shows the probability of Till Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Till Capital price to stay between C$ 0.01 and its current price of C$1.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Till Capital has a beta of 0.58. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Till Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Till Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Till Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Till Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Till Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Till Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Till Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Till Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Till Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Till Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Till Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Till Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Till Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Till Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Till Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Till Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Till Capital may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.76 M. | |
| Till Capital has accumulated about 2.87 M in cash with (1.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Till Capital Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Till Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Till Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Till Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Till Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.8 M |
Till Capital Technical Analysis
Till Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Till Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Till Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Till Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Till Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Till Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Till Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Till Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Till Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Till Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Till Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Till Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Till Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Till Capital may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.76 M. | |
| Till Capital has accumulated about 2.87 M in cash with (1.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Till Capital Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Till Stock Analysis
When running Till Capital's price analysis, check to measure Till Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Till Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Till Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Till Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Till Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Till Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.