TIM SA (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.82
| TIMS3 Stock | BRL 15.55 0.64 3.95% |
TIM |
TIM SA Target Price Odds to finish below 16.82
The tendency of TIM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 16.82 after 90 days |
| 15.55 | 90 days | 16.82 | about 25.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TIM SA to stay under R$ 16.82 after 90 days from now is about 25.53 (This TIM SA probability density function shows the probability of TIM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TIM SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 15.55 and R$ 16.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TIM SA has a beta of -0.46. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TIM SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TIM SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TIM SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TIM SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TIM SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIM SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TIM SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TIM SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TIM SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TIM SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TIM SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
TIM SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TIM SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TIM SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TIM SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TIM SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TIM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TIM SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TIM SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B |
TIM SA Technical Analysis
TIM SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TIM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TIM SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing TIM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TIM SA Predictive Forecast Models
TIM SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many TIM SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TIM SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TIM SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about TIM SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TIM SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TIM SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for TIM Stock Analysis
When running TIM SA's price analysis, check to measure TIM SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TIM SA is operating at the current time. Most of TIM SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TIM SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TIM SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TIM SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.