Take-Two Interactive (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 128.62
TKE Stock | EUR 175.94 1.92 1.08% |
Take-Two |
Take-Two Interactive Target Price Odds to finish below 128.62
The tendency of Take-Two Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 128.62 or more in 90 days |
175.94 | 90 days | 128.62 | about 7.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Take-Two Interactive to drop to 128.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.06 (This Take Two Interactive Software probability density function shows the probability of Take-Two Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Take Two Interactive price to stay between 128.62 and its current price of 175.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Take-Two Interactive has a beta of 0.74. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Take-Two Interactive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Take Two Interactive Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Take Two Interactive Software has an alpha of 0.2515, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Take-Two Interactive Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Take-Two Interactive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Take Two Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Take-Two Interactive Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Take-Two Interactive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Take-Two Interactive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Take Two Interactive Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Take-Two Interactive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Take-Two Interactive Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Take-Two Interactive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Take Two Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Take-Two Interactive Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Take-Two Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Take-Two Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Take-Two Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.4 M |
Take-Two Interactive Technical Analysis
Take-Two Interactive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Take-Two Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Take Two Interactive Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Take-Two Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Take-Two Interactive Predictive Forecast Models
Take-Two Interactive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Take-Two Interactive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Take-Two Interactive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Take Two Interactive
Checking the ongoing alerts about Take-Two Interactive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Take Two Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Take-Two Stock
When determining whether Take Two Interactive offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Take-Two Interactive's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Take Two Interactive Software Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Take Two Interactive Software Stock:Check out Take-Two Interactive Backtesting, Take-Two Interactive Valuation, Take-Two Interactive Correlation, Take-Two Interactive Hype Analysis, Take-Two Interactive Volatility, Take-Two Interactive History as well as Take-Two Interactive Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.