Take-Two Interactive (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 145.58

TKE Stock  EUR 178.44  0.54  0.30%   
Take-Two Interactive's future price is the expected price of Take-Two Interactive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Take Two Interactive Software performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Take-Two Interactive Backtesting, Take-Two Interactive Valuation, Take-Two Interactive Correlation, Take-Two Interactive Hype Analysis, Take-Two Interactive Volatility, Take-Two Interactive History as well as Take-Two Interactive Performance.
  
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Take-Two Interactive Target Price Odds to finish over 145.58

The tendency of Take-Two Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 145.58  in 90 days
 178.44 90 days 145.58 
about 62.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Take-Two Interactive to stay above € 145.58  in 90 days from now is about 62.46 (This Take Two Interactive Software probability density function shows the probability of Take-Two Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Take Two Interactive price to stay between € 145.58  and its current price of €178.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Take-Two Interactive has a beta of 0.83. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Take-Two Interactive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Take Two Interactive Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Take Two Interactive Software has an alpha of 0.2236, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Take-Two Interactive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Take-Two Interactive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Take Two Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
176.94178.44179.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
160.60197.87199.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
172.17173.67175.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
156.00168.04180.08
Details

Take-Two Interactive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Take-Two Interactive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Take-Two Interactive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Take Two Interactive Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Take-Two Interactive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.83
σ
Overall volatility
15.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Take-Two Interactive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Take-Two Interactive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Take Two Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Take-Two Interactive Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Take-Two Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Take-Two Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Take-Two Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115.4 M

Take-Two Interactive Technical Analysis

Take-Two Interactive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Take-Two Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Take Two Interactive Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Take-Two Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Take-Two Interactive Predictive Forecast Models

Take-Two Interactive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Take-Two Interactive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Take-Two Interactive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Take Two Interactive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Take-Two Interactive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Take Two Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Take-Two Stock

When determining whether Take Two Interactive offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Take-Two Interactive's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Take Two Interactive Software Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Take Two Interactive Software Stock:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Take-Two Interactive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Take-Two Interactive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Take-Two Interactive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.