Tokyo Electric Power Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.36
| TKECF Stock | USD 3.61 0.04 1.12% |
Tokyo |
Tokyo Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 4.36
The tendency of Tokyo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.36 after 90 days |
| 3.61 | 90 days | 4.36 | about 73.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyo Electric to stay under $ 4.36 after 90 days from now is about 73.02 (This Tokyo Electric Power probability density function shows the probability of Tokyo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tokyo Electric Power price to stay between its current price of $ 3.61 and $ 4.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokyo Electric Power has a beta of -0.75. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokyo Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tokyo Electric Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tokyo Electric Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tokyo Electric Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tokyo Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyo Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tokyo Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tokyo Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyo Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyo Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyo Electric Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyo Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Tokyo Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokyo Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokyo Electric Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tokyo Electric Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has accumulated 2.77 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.73, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyo Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyo Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyo Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyo Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyo Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Tokyo Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokyo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokyo Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokyo Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Tokyo Electric Technical Analysis
Tokyo Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokyo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokyo Electric Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokyo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tokyo Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Tokyo Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokyo Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokyo Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tokyo Electric Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyo Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokyo Electric Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tokyo Electric Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tokyo Electric Power has accumulated 2.77 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.73, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyo Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyo Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyo Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyo Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyo Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Tokyo Pink Sheet
Tokyo Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tokyo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tokyo with respect to the benefits of owning Tokyo Electric security.