Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.92
| TLK Stock | USD 16.99 0.04 0.24% |
Telkom |
Telkom Indonesia Target Price Odds to finish below 16.92
The tendency of Telkom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.92 or more in 90 days |
| 16.99 | 90 days | 16.92 | about 7.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telkom Indonesia to drop to $ 16.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.48 (This Telkom Indonesia Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Telkom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telkom Indonesia Tbk price to stay between $ 16.92 and its current price of $16.99 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Telkom Indonesia has a beta of 0.27. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Telkom Indonesia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Telkom Indonesia Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Telkom Indonesia Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Telkom Indonesia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telkom Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telkom Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telkom Indonesia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telkom Indonesia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telkom Indonesia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telkom Indonesia Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telkom Indonesia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Telkom Indonesia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telkom Indonesia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telkom Indonesia Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telkom Indonesia Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telkom Indonesia Tbk has 68.12 T in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. Telkom Indonesia Tbk has a current ratio of 0.78, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telkom to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: PT Telkom Indonesia Tbk Trading 3.95 percent Higher on Nov 19 |
Telkom Indonesia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telkom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telkom Indonesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telkom Indonesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 990.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.7 T |
Telkom Indonesia Technical Analysis
Telkom Indonesia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telkom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telkom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telkom Indonesia Predictive Forecast Models
Telkom Indonesia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telkom Indonesia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telkom Indonesia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telkom Indonesia Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telkom Indonesia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telkom Indonesia Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telkom Indonesia Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telkom Indonesia Tbk has 68.12 T in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. Telkom Indonesia Tbk has a current ratio of 0.78, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telkom to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: PT Telkom Indonesia Tbk Trading 3.95 percent Higher on Nov 19 |
Check out Telkom Indonesia Backtesting, Telkom Indonesia Valuation, Telkom Indonesia Correlation, Telkom Indonesia Hype Analysis, Telkom Indonesia Volatility, Telkom Indonesia History as well as Telkom Indonesia Performance. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telkom Indonesia. If investors know Telkom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Telkom Indonesia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 178.504 | Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share 75.8 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telkom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telkom Indonesia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telkom Indonesia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telkom Indonesia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telkom Indonesia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telkom Indonesia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telkom Indonesia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telkom Indonesia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.