Telsys (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16,213

TLSY Stock  ILS 16,200  550.00  3.28%   
Telsys' future price is the expected price of Telsys instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Telsys performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Telsys Backtesting, Telsys Valuation, Telsys Correlation, Telsys Hype Analysis, Telsys Volatility, Telsys History as well as Telsys Performance.
  
Please specify Telsys' target price for which you would like Telsys odds to be computed.

Telsys Target Price Odds to finish below 16,213

The tendency of Telsys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 16,200 90 days 16,200 
roughly 2.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telsys to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.38 (This Telsys probability density function shows the probability of Telsys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Telsys has a beta of -0.46. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Telsys are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Telsys is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Telsys has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Telsys Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Telsys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telsys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,19616,20016,204
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,82513,82817,820
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,09415,09815,101
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,80617,68319,560
Details

Telsys Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telsys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telsys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telsys, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telsys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.46
σ
Overall volatility
690.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Telsys Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telsys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telsys can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Telsys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Telsys has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Telsys Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telsys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telsys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telsys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.1 M

Telsys Technical Analysis

Telsys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telsys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telsys. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telsys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Telsys Predictive Forecast Models

Telsys' time-series forecasting models is one of many Telsys' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telsys' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Telsys

Checking the ongoing alerts about Telsys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telsys help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Telsys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Telsys has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Telsys Stock

Telsys financial ratios help investors to determine whether Telsys Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Telsys with respect to the benefits of owning Telsys security.