TLT (Poland) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.08
| TLT Stock | 0.14 0.01 7.69% |
TLT |
TLT Target Price Odds to finish over 26.08
The tendency of TLT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 26.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.14 | 90 days | 26.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TLT to move over 26.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TLT probability density function shows the probability of TLT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TLT price to stay between its current price of 0.14 and 26.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TLT has a beta of 0.59. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TLT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TLT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TLT has an alpha of 0.4766, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TLT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TLT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TLT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TLT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TLT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TLT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TLT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TLT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TLT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
TLT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TLT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TLT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TLT had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| TLT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
TLT Technical Analysis
TLT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TLT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TLT. In general, you should focus on analyzing TLT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TLT Predictive Forecast Models
TLT's time-series forecasting models is one of many TLT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TLT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TLT
Checking the ongoing alerts about TLT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TLT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TLT had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| TLT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for TLT Stock Analysis
When running TLT's price analysis, check to measure TLT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TLT is operating at the current time. Most of TLT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TLT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TLT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TLT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.