T-MOBILE (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 229.78
| TM5 Stock | 233.75 0.40 0.17% |
T-MOBILE |
T-MOBILE Target Price Odds to finish below 229.78
The tendency of T-MOBILE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 229.78 or more in 90 days |
| 233.75 | 90 days | 229.78 | about 92.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of T-MOBILE to drop to 229.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 92.9 (This T MOBILE INCDL 00001 probability density function shows the probability of T-MOBILE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of T MOBILE INCDL price to stay between 229.78 and its current price of 233.75 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon T-MOBILE has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, T-MOBILE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding T MOBILE INCDL 00001 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally T MOBILE INCDL 00001 has an alpha of 0.368, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). T-MOBILE Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for T-MOBILE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as T MOBILE INCDL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of T-MOBILE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
T-MOBILE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. T-MOBILE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the T-MOBILE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold T MOBILE INCDL 00001, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of T-MOBILE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
T-MOBILE Technical Analysis
T-MOBILE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. T-MOBILE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of T MOBILE INCDL 00001. In general, you should focus on analyzing T-MOBILE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
T-MOBILE Predictive Forecast Models
T-MOBILE's time-series forecasting models is one of many T-MOBILE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary T-MOBILE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards T-MOBILE in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, T-MOBILE's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from T-MOBILE options trading.
Additional Tools for T-MOBILE Stock Analysis
When running T-MOBILE's price analysis, check to measure T-MOBILE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy T-MOBILE is operating at the current time. Most of T-MOBILE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of T-MOBILE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move T-MOBILE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of T-MOBILE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.