CVW CLEANTECH (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.52

TMD0 Stock   0.61  0.02  3.39%   
CVW CLEANTECH's future price is the expected price of CVW CLEANTECH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CVW CLEANTECH INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CVW CLEANTECH Backtesting, CVW CLEANTECH Valuation, CVW CLEANTECH Correlation, CVW CLEANTECH Hype Analysis, CVW CLEANTECH Volatility, CVW CLEANTECH History as well as CVW CLEANTECH Performance.
  
Please specify CVW CLEANTECH's target price for which you would like CVW CLEANTECH odds to be computed.

CVW CLEANTECH Target Price Odds to finish below 0.52

The tendency of CVW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.52  or more in 90 days
 0.61 90 days 0.52 
about 1.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVW CLEANTECH to drop to  0.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.63 (This CVW CLEANTECH INC probability density function shows the probability of CVW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CVW CLEANTECH INC price to stay between  0.52  and its current price of 0.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CVW CLEANTECH has a beta of 0.0978. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, CVW CLEANTECH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CVW CLEANTECH INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CVW CLEANTECH INC has an alpha of 0.1674, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CVW CLEANTECH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CVW CLEANTECH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVW CLEANTECH INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.612.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.492.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.622.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.520.560.60
Details

CVW CLEANTECH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVW CLEANTECH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVW CLEANTECH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVW CLEANTECH INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVW CLEANTECH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

CVW CLEANTECH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVW CLEANTECH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVW CLEANTECH INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CVW CLEANTECH INC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

CVW CLEANTECH Technical Analysis

CVW CLEANTECH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CVW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CVW CLEANTECH INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing CVW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CVW CLEANTECH Predictive Forecast Models

CVW CLEANTECH's time-series forecasting models is one of many CVW CLEANTECH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CVW CLEANTECH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CVW CLEANTECH INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about CVW CLEANTECH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CVW CLEANTECH INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CVW CLEANTECH INC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in CVW Stock

CVW CLEANTECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether CVW Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CVW with respect to the benefits of owning CVW CLEANTECH security.