Motley Fool 100 Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 60.42
| TMFC Etf | USD 59.99 0.46 0.77% |
Motley |
Motley Fool Target Price Odds to finish over 60.42
The tendency of Motley Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 60.42 or more in 90 days |
| 59.99 | 90 days | 60.42 | roughly 2.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Motley Fool to move over $ 60.42 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.39 (This Motley Fool 100 probability density function shows the probability of Motley Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Motley Fool 100 price to stay between its current price of $ 59.99 and $ 60.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Motley Fool 100 has a beta of -0.0729. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Motley Fool are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Motley Fool 100 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Motley Fool 100 has an alpha of 0.1256, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Motley Fool Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Motley Fool
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Motley Fool 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Motley Fool Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Motley Fool is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Motley Fool's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Motley Fool 100, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Motley Fool within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Motley Fool Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Motley Fool for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Motley Fool 100 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Motley Fool 100 Index ETF Be on Your Investing Radar | |
| The fund maintains 99.85% of its assets in stocks |
Motley Fool Technical Analysis
Motley Fool's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Motley Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Motley Fool 100. In general, you should focus on analyzing Motley Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Motley Fool Predictive Forecast Models
Motley Fool's time-series forecasting models is one of many Motley Fool's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Motley Fool's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Motley Fool 100
Checking the ongoing alerts about Motley Fool for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Motley Fool 100 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Motley Fool 100 Index ETF Be on Your Investing Radar | |
| The fund maintains 99.85% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Motley Fool Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Motley Fool Correlation, Motley Fool Hype Analysis, Motley Fool Volatility, Motley Fool History as well as Motley Fool Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
The market value of Motley Fool 100 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Motley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Motley Fool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Motley Fool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Motley Fool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Motley Fool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Motley Fool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Motley Fool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Motley Fool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.