Tompkins Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 56.41
| TMP Stock | USD 77.23 0.82 1.07% |
Tompkins |
Tompkins Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 56.41
The tendency of Tompkins Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 56.41 or more in 90 days |
| 77.23 | 90 days | 56.41 | about 14.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tompkins Financial to drop to $ 56.41 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.88 (This Tompkins Financial probability density function shows the probability of Tompkins Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tompkins Financial price to stay between $ 56.41 and its current price of $77.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.27 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.77 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tompkins Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Tompkins Financial has an alpha of 0.1095, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tompkins Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tompkins Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tompkins Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tompkins Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tompkins Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tompkins Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tompkins Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tompkins Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Tompkins Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tompkins Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tompkins Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tompkins Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Tompkins Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Tompkins Financial paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Independent Advisor Alliance Boosts Stock Holdings in Becton, Dickinson and Company |
Tompkins Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tompkins Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tompkins Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tompkins Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Tompkins Financial Technical Analysis
Tompkins Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tompkins Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tompkins Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tompkins Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tompkins Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Tompkins Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tompkins Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tompkins Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tompkins Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tompkins Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tompkins Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tompkins Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Tompkins Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Tompkins Financial paid $ 0.62 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Independent Advisor Alliance Boosts Stock Holdings in Becton, Dickinson and Company |
Additional Tools for Tompkins Stock Analysis
When running Tompkins Financial's price analysis, check to measure Tompkins Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tompkins Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Tompkins Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tompkins Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tompkins Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tompkins Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.