Tempo Inti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 117.12
| TMPO Stock | IDR 122.00 4.00 3.17% |
Tempo |
Tempo Inti Target Price Odds to finish over 117.12
The tendency of Tempo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 117.12 in 90 days |
| 122.00 | 90 days | 117.12 | over 95.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tempo Inti to stay above 117.12 in 90 days from now is over 95.73 (This Tempo Inti Media probability density function shows the probability of Tempo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tempo Inti Media price to stay between 117.12 and its current price of 122.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tempo Inti Media has a beta of -0.35. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tempo Inti are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tempo Inti Media is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tempo Inti Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tempo Inti Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tempo Inti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tempo Inti Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tempo Inti Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tempo Inti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tempo Inti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tempo Inti Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tempo Inti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 39.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Tempo Inti Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tempo Inti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tempo Inti Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tempo Inti Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tempo Inti Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tempo Inti Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tempo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tempo Inti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tempo Inti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.3 B |
Tempo Inti Technical Analysis
Tempo Inti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tempo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tempo Inti Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tempo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tempo Inti Predictive Forecast Models
Tempo Inti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tempo Inti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tempo Inti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tempo Inti Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tempo Inti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tempo Inti Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tempo Inti Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tempo Inti Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tempo Stock
Tempo Inti financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tempo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tempo with respect to the benefits of owning Tempo Inti security.