TRINET GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 81.58
| TN3 Stock | EUR 86.50 0.50 0.57% |
TRINET |
TRINET GROUP Target Price Odds to finish below 81.58
The tendency of TRINET Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 81.58 or more in 90 days |
| 86.50 | 90 days | 81.58 | about 17.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRINET GROUP to drop to € 81.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.76 (This TRINET GROUP INC probability density function shows the probability of TRINET Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TRINET GROUP INC price to stay between € 81.58 and its current price of €86.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.97 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TRINET GROUP will likely underperform. Additionally TRINET GROUP INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TRINET GROUP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TRINET GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRINET GROUP INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TRINET GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRINET GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRINET GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRINET GROUP INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRINET GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
TRINET GROUP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRINET GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRINET GROUP INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TRINET GROUP INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
TRINET GROUP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TRINET Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TRINET GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TRINET GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.6 M |
TRINET GROUP Technical Analysis
TRINET GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRINET Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TRINET GROUP INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRINET Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TRINET GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
TRINET GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many TRINET GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TRINET GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TRINET GROUP INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about TRINET GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TRINET GROUP INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TRINET GROUP INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in TRINET Stock
TRINET GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRINET Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRINET with respect to the benefits of owning TRINET GROUP security.