PT Trimuda (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 198.0
| TNCA Stock | 198.00 6.00 2.94% |
TNCA |
PT Trimuda Target Price Odds to finish below 198.0
The tendency of TNCA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 198.00 | 90 days | 198.00 | about 6.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Trimuda to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 6.26 (This PT Trimuda Nuansa probability density function shows the probability of TNCA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Trimuda Nuansa has a beta of -0.64. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PT Trimuda are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PT Trimuda Nuansa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PT Trimuda Nuansa has an alpha of 0.4348, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PT Trimuda Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Trimuda
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Trimuda Nuansa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Trimuda Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Trimuda is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Trimuda's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Trimuda Nuansa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Trimuda within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 87.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
PT Trimuda Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Trimuda for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Trimuda Nuansa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Trimuda Nuansa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Trimuda Nuansa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PT Trimuda Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TNCA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Trimuda's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Trimuda's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 421.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B | |
| Shares Float | 129.6 M |
PT Trimuda Technical Analysis
PT Trimuda's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TNCA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Trimuda Nuansa. In general, you should focus on analyzing TNCA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Trimuda Predictive Forecast Models
PT Trimuda's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Trimuda's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Trimuda's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Trimuda Nuansa
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Trimuda for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Trimuda Nuansa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Trimuda Nuansa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Trimuda Nuansa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TNCA Stock
PT Trimuda financial ratios help investors to determine whether TNCA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TNCA with respect to the benefits of owning PT Trimuda security.