1290 High Yield Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.74

TNHRX Fund  USD 8.56  0.01  0.12%   
1290 High's future price is the expected price of 1290 High instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1290 High Yield performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 1290 High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 1290 High Correlation, 1290 High Hype Analysis, 1290 High Volatility, 1290 High History as well as 1290 High Performance.
  
Please specify 1290 High's target price for which you would like 1290 High odds to be computed.

1290 High Target Price Odds to finish below 7.74

The tendency of 1290 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.74  or more in 90 days
 8.56 90 days 7.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1290 High to drop to $ 7.74  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 1290 High Yield probability density function shows the probability of 1290 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1290 High Yield price to stay between $ 7.74  and its current price of $8.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 1290 High Yield has a beta of -0.0025. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 1290 High are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 1290 High Yield is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 1290 High Yield has an alpha of 0.0154, implying that it can generate a 0.0154 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   1290 High Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1290 High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1290 High Yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.448.568.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.747.869.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.428.548.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.568.568.56
Details

1290 High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1290 High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1290 High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1290 High Yield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1290 High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0025
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.86

1290 High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1290 High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1290 High Yield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 9.26% of its assets in bonds

1290 High Technical Analysis

1290 High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1290 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1290 High Yield. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1290 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1290 High Predictive Forecast Models

1290 High's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1290 High's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1290 High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 1290 High Yield

Checking the ongoing alerts about 1290 High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1290 High Yield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 9.26% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in 1290 Mutual Fund

1290 High financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1290 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1290 with respect to the benefits of owning 1290 High security.
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