Tcnicas Reunidas Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 15.45
| TNISF Stock | USD 11.41 0.00 0.00% |
Tcnicas |
Tcnicas Reunidas Target Price Odds to finish over 15.45
The tendency of Tcnicas Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.45 or more in 90 days |
| 11.41 | 90 days | 15.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tcnicas Reunidas to move over $ 15.45 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tcnicas Reunidas SA probability density function shows the probability of Tcnicas Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tcnicas Reunidas price to stay between its current price of $ 11.41 and $ 15.45 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tcnicas Reunidas SA has a beta of -0.52. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tcnicas Reunidas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tcnicas Reunidas SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tcnicas Reunidas SA has an alpha of 0.7715, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tcnicas Reunidas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tcnicas Reunidas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tcnicas Reunidas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tcnicas Reunidas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tcnicas Reunidas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tcnicas Reunidas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tcnicas Reunidas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tcnicas Reunidas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tcnicas Reunidas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Tcnicas Reunidas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tcnicas Reunidas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tcnicas Reunidas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tcnicas Reunidas is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tcnicas Reunidas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Tcnicas Reunidas has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (190.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 675.38 M. | |
| Tcnicas Reunidas SA has accumulated about 1.05 B in cash with (267.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.56, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tcnicas Reunidas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tcnicas Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tcnicas Reunidas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tcnicas Reunidas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.6 M |
Tcnicas Reunidas Technical Analysis
Tcnicas Reunidas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tcnicas Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tcnicas Reunidas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tcnicas Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tcnicas Reunidas Predictive Forecast Models
Tcnicas Reunidas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tcnicas Reunidas' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tcnicas Reunidas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tcnicas Reunidas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tcnicas Reunidas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tcnicas Reunidas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tcnicas Reunidas is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tcnicas Reunidas appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Tcnicas Reunidas has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (190.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 675.38 M. | |
| Tcnicas Reunidas SA has accumulated about 1.05 B in cash with (267.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.56, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tcnicas Pink Sheet
Tcnicas Reunidas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tcnicas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tcnicas with respect to the benefits of owning Tcnicas Reunidas security.