Trinity Watthana (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| TNITY Stock | THB 4.86 0.29 5.63% |
Trinity |
Trinity Watthana Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of Trinity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 4.86 | 90 days | 0.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trinity Watthana to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Trinity Watthana Public probability density function shows the probability of Trinity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trinity Watthana Public price to stay between 0.05 and its current price of 4.86 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trinity Watthana has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trinity Watthana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trinity Watthana Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trinity Watthana Public has an alpha of 0.2576, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Trinity Watthana Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trinity Watthana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trinity Watthana Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trinity Watthana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trinity Watthana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trinity Watthana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trinity Watthana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trinity Watthana Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trinity Watthana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Trinity Watthana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trinity Watthana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trinity Watthana Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trinity Watthana is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Trinity Watthana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Trinity Watthana has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Trinity Watthana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trinity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trinity Watthana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trinity Watthana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 214.4 M |
Trinity Watthana Technical Analysis
Trinity Watthana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trinity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trinity Watthana Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trinity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trinity Watthana Predictive Forecast Models
Trinity Watthana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trinity Watthana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trinity Watthana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trinity Watthana Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trinity Watthana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trinity Watthana Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trinity Watthana is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Trinity Watthana appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Trinity Watthana has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Trinity Stock
Trinity Watthana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trinity Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trinity with respect to the benefits of owning Trinity Watthana security.