1290 Multi Alternative Strategies Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.56

TNMRX Fund  USD 9.66  0.02  0.21%   
1290 Multi-alternativ's future price is the expected price of 1290 Multi-alternativ instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1290 Multi Alternative Strategies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 1290 Multi-alternativ Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 1290 Multi-alternativ Correlation, 1290 Multi-alternativ Hype Analysis, 1290 Multi-alternativ Volatility, 1290 Multi-alternativ History as well as 1290 Multi-alternativ Performance.
  
Please specify 1290 Multi-alternativ's target price for which you would like 1290 Multi-alternativ odds to be computed.

1290 Multi-alternativ Target Price Odds to finish over 10.56

The tendency of 1290 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.56  or more in 90 days
 9.66 90 days 10.56 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1290 Multi-alternativ to move over $ 10.56  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This 1290 Multi Alternative Strategies probability density function shows the probability of 1290 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1290 Multi Alternative price to stay between its current price of $ 9.66  and $ 10.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 1290 Multi-alternativ has a beta of 0.22. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 1290 Multi-alternativ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 1290 Multi Alternative Strategies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 1290 Multi Alternative Strategies has an alpha of 0.0117, implying that it can generate a 0.0117 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   1290 Multi-alternativ Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1290 Multi-alternativ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1290 Multi Alternative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.359.669.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.309.619.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.419.7210.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.509.609.70
Details

1290 Multi-alternativ Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1290 Multi-alternativ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1290 Multi-alternativ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1290 Multi Alternative Strategies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1290 Multi-alternativ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

1290 Multi-alternativ Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1290 Multi-alternativ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1290 Multi Alternative can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 13.37% of its assets in cash

1290 Multi-alternativ Technical Analysis

1290 Multi-alternativ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1290 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1290 Multi Alternative Strategies. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1290 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1290 Multi-alternativ Predictive Forecast Models

1290 Multi-alternativ's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1290 Multi-alternativ's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1290 Multi-alternativ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 1290 Multi Alternative

Checking the ongoing alerts about 1290 Multi-alternativ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1290 Multi Alternative help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 13.37% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in 1290 Mutual Fund

1290 Multi-alternativ financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1290 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1290 with respect to the benefits of owning 1290 Multi-alternativ security.
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