Terreno Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0096

TNO-H Stock  CAD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Terreno Resources' future price is the expected price of Terreno Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Terreno Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Terreno Resources Backtesting, Terreno Resources Valuation, Terreno Resources Correlation, Terreno Resources Hype Analysis, Terreno Resources Volatility, Terreno Resources History as well as Terreno Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Terreno Resources' target price for which you would like Terreno Resources odds to be computed.

Terreno Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0096

The tendency of Terreno Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 18.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Terreno Resources to drop to C$ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.14 (This Terreno Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of Terreno Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Terreno Resources Corp price to stay between C$ 0.01  and its current price of C$0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Terreno Resources Corp has a beta of -8.4. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Terreno Resources Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Terreno Resources is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Terreno Resources Corp has an alpha of 4.6133, implying that it can generate a 4.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Terreno Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Terreno Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terreno Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0131.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0131.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0231.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Terreno Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Terreno Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Terreno Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Terreno Resources Corp.

Terreno Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Terreno Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Terreno Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Terreno Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Terreno Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones-8.4
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Terreno Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Terreno Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Terreno Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Terreno Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Terreno Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Terreno Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Terreno Resources Corp has accumulated 714.78 K in total debt. Terreno Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Terreno Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Terreno Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Terreno Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Terreno to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Terreno Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (296.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Terreno Resources Corp has accumulated about 17.84 K in cash with (129.41 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Terreno Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Terreno Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Terreno Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Terreno Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64.2 M
Shares Float55.8 M

Terreno Resources Technical Analysis

Terreno Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Terreno Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Terreno Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Terreno Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Terreno Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Terreno Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Terreno Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Terreno Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Terreno Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Terreno Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Terreno Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Terreno Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Terreno Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Terreno Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Terreno Resources Corp has accumulated 714.78 K in total debt. Terreno Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Terreno Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Terreno Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Terreno Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Terreno to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Terreno Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (296.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Terreno Resources Corp has accumulated about 17.84 K in cash with (129.41 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Terreno Stock Analysis

When running Terreno Resources' price analysis, check to measure Terreno Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Terreno Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Terreno Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Terreno Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Terreno Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Terreno Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.