Technoplus Ventures (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 940.63

TNPV Stock  ILS 1,234  80.00  6.93%   
Technoplus Ventures' future price is the expected price of Technoplus Ventures instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Technoplus Ventures performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Technoplus Ventures Backtesting, Technoplus Ventures Valuation, Technoplus Ventures Correlation, Technoplus Ventures Hype Analysis, Technoplus Ventures Volatility, Technoplus Ventures History as well as Technoplus Ventures Performance.
  
Please specify Technoplus Ventures' target price for which you would like Technoplus Ventures odds to be computed.

Technoplus Ventures Target Price Odds to finish below 940.63

The tendency of Technoplus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 940.63  or more in 90 days
 1,234 90 days 940.63 
about 43.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Technoplus Ventures to drop to S 940.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 43.67 (This Technoplus Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Technoplus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Technoplus Ventures price to stay between S 940.63  and its current price of S1234.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Technoplus Ventures has a beta of -0.34. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Technoplus Ventures are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Technoplus Ventures is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Technoplus Ventures has an alpha of 0.6527, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Technoplus Ventures Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Technoplus Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Technoplus Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2301,2341,238
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
940.57944.581,357
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,2201,2241,228
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0791,1671,255
Details

Technoplus Ventures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Technoplus Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Technoplus Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Technoplus Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Technoplus Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
166.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Technoplus Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Technoplus Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Technoplus Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Technoplus Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Technoplus Ventures has accumulated 291 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 11.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Technoplus Ventures has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Technoplus Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Technoplus Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Technoplus Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Technoplus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Technoplus Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Technoplus Ventures has accumulated about 116 K in cash with (425 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 52.0% of Technoplus Ventures outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Technoplus Ventures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Technoplus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Technoplus Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Technoplus Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 M

Technoplus Ventures Technical Analysis

Technoplus Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Technoplus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Technoplus Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Technoplus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Technoplus Ventures Predictive Forecast Models

Technoplus Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Technoplus Ventures' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Technoplus Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Technoplus Ventures

Checking the ongoing alerts about Technoplus Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Technoplus Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Technoplus Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Technoplus Ventures has accumulated 291 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 11.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Technoplus Ventures has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Technoplus Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Technoplus Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Technoplus Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Technoplus to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Technoplus Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Technoplus Ventures has accumulated about 116 K in cash with (425 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 52.0% of Technoplus Ventures outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Technoplus Stock

Technoplus Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Technoplus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Technoplus with respect to the benefits of owning Technoplus Ventures security.