Tokyu Corp Adr Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 11.05
| TOKUY Stock | USD 11.77 0.00 0.00% |
Tokyu |
Tokyu Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 11.05
The tendency of Tokyu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.05 or more in 90 days |
| 11.77 | 90 days | 11.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyu Corp to drop to $ 11.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tokyu Corp ADR probability density function shows the probability of Tokyu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tokyu Corp ADR price to stay between $ 11.05 and its current price of $11.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokyu Corp ADR has a beta of -0.0132. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokyu Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tokyu Corp ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tokyu Corp ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tokyu Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tokyu Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyu Corp ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tokyu Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tokyu Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyu Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyu Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyu Corp ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyu Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.6 |
Tokyu Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokyu Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokyu Corp ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tokyu Corp ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyu Corp ADR has accumulated 800.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyu Corp ADR has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyu Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyu Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyu Corp ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyu Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Tokyu Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokyu Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokyu Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokyu Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 604.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.3 B |
Tokyu Corp Technical Analysis
Tokyu Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokyu Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokyu Corp ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokyu Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tokyu Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Tokyu Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokyu Corp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokyu Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tokyu Corp ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyu Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokyu Corp ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tokyu Corp ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tokyu Corp ADR has accumulated 800.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyu Corp ADR has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyu Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyu Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyu Corp ADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyu Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Tokyu Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Tokyu Corp's price analysis, check to measure Tokyu Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tokyu Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Tokyu Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tokyu Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tokyu Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tokyu Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.