Organic Meat (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.21
| TOMCL Stock | 35.39 0.16 0.45% |
Organic |
Organic Meat Target Price Odds to finish below 17.21
The tendency of Organic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.21 or more in 90 days |
| 35.39 | 90 days | 17.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Organic Meat to drop to 17.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Organic Meat probability density function shows the probability of Organic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Organic Meat price to stay between 17.21 and its current price of 35.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Organic Meat has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Organic Meat average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Organic Meat will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Organic Meat has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Organic Meat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Organic Meat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Organic Meat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Organic Meat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Organic Meat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Organic Meat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Organic Meat, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Organic Meat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Organic Meat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Organic Meat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Organic Meat can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Organic Meat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Organic Meat Technical Analysis
Organic Meat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Organic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Organic Meat. In general, you should focus on analyzing Organic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Organic Meat Predictive Forecast Models
Organic Meat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Organic Meat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Organic Meat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Organic Meat
Checking the ongoing alerts about Organic Meat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Organic Meat help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Organic Meat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |