Toshiba Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 32.51

TOSBFDelisted Stock  USD 32.51  0.00  0.00%   
Toshiba's future price is the expected price of Toshiba instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Toshiba performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
Please specify Toshiba's target price for which you would like Toshiba odds to be computed.

Toshiba Target Price Odds to finish over 32.51

The tendency of Toshiba Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.51 90 days 32.51 
about 17.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toshiba to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.43 (This Toshiba probability density function shows the probability of Toshiba Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Toshiba has a beta of 0.0238. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Toshiba average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Toshiba will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Toshiba has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Toshiba Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Toshiba

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toshiba. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.5132.5132.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2727.2735.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.2833.2833.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4131.7533.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Toshiba. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Toshiba's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Toshiba's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Toshiba.

Toshiba Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toshiba is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toshiba's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toshiba, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toshiba within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Toshiba Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toshiba for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toshiba can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toshiba is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Toshiba has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Toshiba Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toshiba Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toshiba's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toshiba's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding432.6 M

Toshiba Technical Analysis

Toshiba's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toshiba Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Toshiba. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toshiba Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Toshiba Predictive Forecast Models

Toshiba's time-series forecasting models is one of many Toshiba's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toshiba's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Toshiba

Checking the ongoing alerts about Toshiba for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Toshiba help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toshiba is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Toshiba has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Other Consideration for investing in Toshiba Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Toshiba check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Toshiba's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies