Total Bangun (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 720.0
| TOTL Stock | IDR 705.00 20.00 2.76% |
Total |
Total Bangun Target Price Odds to finish below 720.0
The tendency of Total Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 720.00 after 90 days |
| 705.00 | 90 days | 720.00 | about 85.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Total Bangun to stay under 720.00 after 90 days from now is about 85.41 (This Total Bangun Persada probability density function shows the probability of Total Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Total Bangun Persada price to stay between its current price of 705.00 and 720.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Total Bangun has a beta of 0.82. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Total Bangun average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Total Bangun Persada will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Total Bangun Persada has an alpha of 0.0868, implying that it can generate a 0.0868 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Total Bangun Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Total Bangun
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Total Bangun Persada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Total Bangun Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Total Bangun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Total Bangun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Total Bangun Persada, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Total Bangun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 51.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Total Bangun Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Total Bangun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Total Bangun Persada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Total Bangun Persada had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Total Bangun Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Total Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Total Bangun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Total Bangun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 969.1 B |
Total Bangun Technical Analysis
Total Bangun's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Total Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Total Bangun Persada. In general, you should focus on analyzing Total Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Total Bangun Predictive Forecast Models
Total Bangun's time-series forecasting models is one of many Total Bangun's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Total Bangun's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Total Bangun Persada
Checking the ongoing alerts about Total Bangun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Total Bangun Persada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Total Bangun Persada had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Total Stock
Total Bangun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Total Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Total with respect to the benefits of owning Total Bangun security.