Toys R (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0564
| TOY Stock | 0.05 0 5.56% |
Toys |
Toys R Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0564
The tendency of Toys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.06 after 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.06 | about 10.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toys R to stay under 0.06 after 90 days from now is about 10.97 (This Toys R Us probability density function shows the probability of Toys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Toys R Us price to stay between its current price of 0.05 and 0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Toys R Us has a beta of -1.3. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Toys R Us are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Toys R is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Toys R Us has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Toys R Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Toys R
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toys R Us. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Toys R Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toys R is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toys R's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toys R Us, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toys R within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Toys R Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toys R for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toys R Us can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Toys R Us generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toys R Us has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Toys R Us has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Toys R Us has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 31.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.13 M. | |
| Toys R generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Toys R Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toys R's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toys R's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 863 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Toys R Technical Analysis
Toys R's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Toys R Us. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Toys R Predictive Forecast Models
Toys R's time-series forecasting models is one of many Toys R's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toys R's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Toys R Us
Checking the ongoing alerts about Toys R for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Toys R Us help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Toys R Us generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toys R Us has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Toys R Us has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Toys R Us has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 31.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (25.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.13 M. | |
| Toys R generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Toys Stock Analysis
When running Toys R's price analysis, check to measure Toys R's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toys R is operating at the current time. Most of Toys R's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toys R's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toys R's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toys R to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.