Timothy Plan International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.49

TPIIX Fund  USD 13.27  0.12  0.90%   
Timothy Plan's future price is the expected price of Timothy Plan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Timothy Plan International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Timothy Plan Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Timothy Plan Correlation, Timothy Plan Hype Analysis, Timothy Plan Volatility, Timothy Plan History as well as Timothy Plan Performance.
  
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Timothy Plan Target Price Odds to finish over 15.49

The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.49  or more in 90 days
 13.27 90 days 15.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Plan to move over $ 15.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Timothy Plan International probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timothy Plan Interna price to stay between its current price of $ 13.27  and $ 15.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Plan has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Timothy Plan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Timothy Plan International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Timothy Plan International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Timothy Plan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Timothy Plan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Plan Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5013.2714.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5213.2914.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7913.5614.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7713.1613.55
Details

Timothy Plan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Plan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Plan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Plan International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Plan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Timothy Plan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Plan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Plan Interna can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Timothy Plan Technical Analysis

Timothy Plan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timothy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timothy Plan International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timothy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Timothy Plan Predictive Forecast Models

Timothy Plan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timothy Plan's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timothy Plan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Timothy Plan Interna

Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Plan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Plan Interna help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Plan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Plan security.
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