TPI Polene (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.51
| TPIPL Stock | THB 1.12 0.01 0.90% |
TPI |
TPI Polene Target Price Odds to finish over 2.51
The tendency of TPI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2.51 or more in 90 days |
| 1.12 | 90 days | 2.51 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TPI Polene to move over 2.51 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TPI Polene Public probability density function shows the probability of TPI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TPI Polene Public price to stay between its current price of 1.12 and 2.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TPI Polene Public has a beta of -0.0994. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TPI Polene are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TPI Polene Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TPI Polene Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TPI Polene Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TPI Polene
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPI Polene Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TPI Polene Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TPI Polene is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TPI Polene's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TPI Polene Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TPI Polene within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
TPI Polene Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TPI Polene for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TPI Polene Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TPI Polene Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TPI Polene Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| TPI Polene Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
TPI Polene Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TPI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TPI Polene's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPI Polene's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 B |
TPI Polene Technical Analysis
TPI Polene's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TPI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TPI Polene Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing TPI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TPI Polene Predictive Forecast Models
TPI Polene's time-series forecasting models is one of many TPI Polene's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TPI Polene's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TPI Polene Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about TPI Polene for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TPI Polene Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TPI Polene Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TPI Polene Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| TPI Polene Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in TPI Stock
TPI Polene financial ratios help investors to determine whether TPI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TPI with respect to the benefits of owning TPI Polene security.