Timothy Small Cap Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.50
| TPLNX Fund | USD 21.82 0.05 0.23% |
Timothy |
Timothy Small-cap Target Price Odds to finish below 20.50
The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.50 or more in 90 days |
| 21.82 | 90 days | 20.50 | about 41.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Small-cap to drop to $ 20.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.05 (This Timothy Small Cap Value probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timothy Small Cap price to stay between $ 20.50 and its current price of $21.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Timothy Small-cap will likely underperform. Additionally Timothy Small Cap Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Timothy Small-cap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Small-cap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Timothy Small-cap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Small-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Small-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Small Cap Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Small-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Timothy Small-cap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Small-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Timothy Small-cap Technical Analysis
Timothy Small-cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timothy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timothy Small Cap Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timothy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Timothy Small-cap Predictive Forecast Models
Timothy Small-cap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timothy Small-cap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timothy Small-cap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Timothy Small Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Small-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund
Timothy Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Small-cap security.
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