Panoply Holdings (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.23
TPX Stock | 38.00 2.00 5.00% |
Panoply |
Panoply Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 31.23
The tendency of Panoply Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31.23 or more in 90 days |
38.00 | 90 days | 31.23 | about 16.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Panoply Holdings to drop to 31.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.24 (This The Panoply Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Panoply Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Panoply Holdings price to stay between 31.23 and its current price of 38.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Panoply Holdings has a beta of 0.51. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Panoply Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Panoply Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Panoply Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Panoply Holdings Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Panoply Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Panoply Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Panoply Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Panoply Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Panoply Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Panoply Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Panoply Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Panoply Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Panoply Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Panoply Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Panoply Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Panoply Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Panoply Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reported the revenue of 84.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.91 M. | |
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 - 247 Wall St. |
Panoply Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Panoply Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Panoply Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Panoply Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.4 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.9 M |
Panoply Holdings Technical Analysis
Panoply Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Panoply Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Panoply Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Panoply Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Panoply Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Panoply Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Panoply Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Panoply Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Panoply Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Panoply Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Panoply Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Panoply Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Panoply Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Panoply Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company reported the revenue of 84.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (23.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.91 M. | |
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 - 247 Wall St. |
Other Information on Investing in Panoply Stock
Panoply Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Panoply Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Panoply with respect to the benefits of owning Panoply Holdings security.