Repositrak Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.53

TRAK Stock   23.44  0.62  2.58%   
ReposiTrak's future price is the expected price of ReposiTrak instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ReposiTrak performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ReposiTrak Backtesting, ReposiTrak Valuation, ReposiTrak Correlation, ReposiTrak Hype Analysis, ReposiTrak Volatility, ReposiTrak History as well as ReposiTrak Performance.
For more information on how to buy ReposiTrak Stock please use our How to buy in ReposiTrak Stock guide.
  
At this time, ReposiTrak's Price Fair Value is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify ReposiTrak's target price for which you would like ReposiTrak odds to be computed.

ReposiTrak Target Price Odds to finish over 24.53

The tendency of ReposiTrak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  24.53  or more in 90 days
 23.44 90 days 24.53 
about 1.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ReposiTrak to move over  24.53  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.0 (This ReposiTrak probability density function shows the probability of ReposiTrak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ReposiTrak price to stay between its current price of  23.44  and  24.53  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ReposiTrak has a beta of 0.33. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, ReposiTrak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ReposiTrak will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ReposiTrak has an alpha of 0.3181, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ReposiTrak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ReposiTrak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ReposiTrak. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3223.8526.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1816.7126.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.8023.3325.86
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ReposiTrak. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ReposiTrak's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ReposiTrak's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ReposiTrak.

ReposiTrak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ReposiTrak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ReposiTrak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ReposiTrak, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ReposiTrak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

ReposiTrak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ReposiTrak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ReposiTrak can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ReposiTrak is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
ReposiTrak currently holds 481.02 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ReposiTrak has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about ReposiTrak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
ReposiTrak has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 36.0% of ReposiTrak outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 13th of November 2024 ReposiTrak paid 0.0165 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Massive Insider Trade At ReposiTrak

ReposiTrak Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ReposiTrak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ReposiTrak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ReposiTrak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.2 M

ReposiTrak Technical Analysis

ReposiTrak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ReposiTrak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ReposiTrak. In general, you should focus on analyzing ReposiTrak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ReposiTrak Predictive Forecast Models

ReposiTrak's time-series forecasting models is one of many ReposiTrak's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ReposiTrak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ReposiTrak

Checking the ongoing alerts about ReposiTrak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ReposiTrak help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ReposiTrak is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
ReposiTrak currently holds 481.02 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ReposiTrak has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about ReposiTrak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
ReposiTrak has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 36.0% of ReposiTrak outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 13th of November 2024 ReposiTrak paid 0.0165 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Massive Insider Trade At ReposiTrak
When determining whether ReposiTrak is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ReposiTrak Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Repositrak Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Repositrak Stock:
Check out ReposiTrak Backtesting, ReposiTrak Valuation, ReposiTrak Correlation, ReposiTrak Hype Analysis, ReposiTrak Volatility, ReposiTrak History as well as ReposiTrak Performance.
For more information on how to buy ReposiTrak Stock please use our How to buy in ReposiTrak Stock guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ReposiTrak. If investors know ReposiTrak will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ReposiTrak listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.195
Dividend Share
0.065
Earnings Share
0.29
Revenue Per Share
1.124
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.079
The market value of ReposiTrak is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ReposiTrak that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ReposiTrak's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ReposiTrak's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ReposiTrak's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ReposiTrak's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ReposiTrak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ReposiTrak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ReposiTrak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.